- Dataset
- 2026-09-18-v3.0
- Ruleset
- b2e8889c66f7
- Scanned
- 2026-09-16
- Window
- February–September 15, 2026
01Result
78/xiaozhi-esp32 ↗78/xiaozhi-esp32 AI coding statistics: 13.3%
Adoption is broad. Many contributors are committing agent-authored work, which is what a real organisational rollout looks like.
02Drivers
What shapes this result
Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.
Assisted or autonomous
Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached. Across the whole index, 96% of agent commits are assisted.
Agent share by month
| Month | Agent share | Considered commits |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02 | 0% | 26 |
| 2026-03 | 13.5% | 37 |
| 2026-04 | 11.5% | 26 |
| 2026-05 | 11.1% | 18 |
| 2026-06 | 9.1% | 11 |
| 2026-07 | 3.1% | 32 |
| 2026-08 | 13.8% | 29 |
| 2026-09 | 38.7% | 31 |
Peak month: 38.7%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.
Which agents
| Agent | Vendor | Commits | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Code | Anthropic | 9 | 4.3% |
| Cursor Agent | Anysphere | 9 | 4.3% |
| GitHub Copilot | GitHub | 9 | 4.3% |
| OpenAI Codex | OpenAI | 2 | 1% |
03Evidence
Inspect the matches
Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.
Matched commit samples
2b183ab3on GitHubfix(esp-vocat): apply V1.2 pins on the cached path tooClaude Code213f33baon GitHubfix(esp-vocat): stabilize PCB version detection across soft resetsClaude Coded68505f5on GitHubAdd pt-BR (Brazilian Portuguese) locale (#2243)Claude Codeac6deed3on GitHubDisable C++ exceptions and keep ESP32-S31 firmware in the 4MB OTA slot (#2Cursor Agent7aa92666on GitHubfix: keep AFE and LVGL out of the internal SRAM bottleneckCursor Agent3cd9385fon GitHubfix(nt26): handle uart-eth-modem 0.6 events and QueryCellInfoCursor Agentd88d2c89on GitHubfix(esp-hi): fit 4MB assets and restore ST7735 bring-up (#2238)GitHub Copilot01212107on GitHubFix mirrored camera image on AtomS3R-M12 (OV3660) (#2155)GitHub Copilot49ac8a6don GitHubchore: upgrade version to 2.2.6 (#1944)GitHub Copilot2a9157dbon GitHubBind Otto MCP responses to request client (#2021)OpenAI Codexe182471fon GitHubValidate MQTT goodbye session id (#2023)OpenAI Codex
04Method
What entered the denominator
The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.
Exclusion ledger
| Commits in window | 241 |
| Merge commits removed | −31 |
| CI / dependency bots removed | −0 |
| Considered | 210 |
Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.
05Provenance
Pinned to a source state
This observation names the repository state, release, and detector that produced it. Use these identifiers when reproducing or citing the result.
- Dataset release
- 2026-09-18-v3.0
- Scan date
- 2026-09-16
- Ruleset
- sha256:b2e8889c66f72c18a61839f0bf1a9f77b5481ba2def044dba33c797b2f2bdcae
- Canonical repository
- 78/xiaozhi-esp32
- Default branch
- main
- Resolved HEAD
- 5d54beb743ff49c4e8db81bbef9413bdd6e2ba17 ↗
- Resolved
- 2026-09-16
- Measurement window
- February–September 15, 2026
06Peer context
Position among comparable repositories
The cohort uses the same release and measurement window, then narrows to the repository’s ecosystem and removes low-activity observations.
Midrank percentile; equal shares split the tied positions.
- Repository
- 13.3%
- Cohort median
- 0.4%
- Share rank
- 12 / 127
Percentile = (repositories below + half of 1 tied repository) ÷ 127.
Continue exploring
Related coding-agent evidence
Run the same detector locally.
Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.
npx qmmit-cli 78/xiaozhi-esp32