- Dataset
- 2026-10-27-catalog-ai-v2
- Ruleset
- b2e8889c66f7
- Scanned
- 2026-10-27
- Window
- February–September 15, 2026
01Result
ARENA-education/ARENA_materials ↗ARENA-education/ARENA_materials AI coding statistics: 20.6%
A small group is using agents. Adoption has spread beyond one person but is not project-wide.
02Drivers
What shapes this result
Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.
Assisted or autonomous
Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached.
Agent share by month
| Month | Agent share | Considered commits |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02 | 0% | 47 |
| 2026-03 | 8.6% | 35 |
| 2026-04 | 0% | 8 |
| 2026-05 | 18.9% | 37 |
| 2026-06 | 25.2% | 143 |
| 2026-07 | 0% | 12 |
| 2026-08 | 39% | 77 |
| 2026-09 | 16.3% | 43 |
Peak month: 39%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.
Which agents
| Agent | Vendor | Commits | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Code | Anthropic | 83 | 20.6% |
03Evidence
Inspect the matches
Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.
Matched commit samples
c2b4a24eon GitHubgpu_env: fix CartPole docstring, reward is 0 on the terminating stepClaude Code72f0d76fon GitHub[0.4] Fold in PR #308 typos + typehints, with audit tweaksClaude Code64a2f138on GitHub[1.5.2] Keep Welch Labs callout in master; drop generated pageClaude Code
04Method
What entered the denominator
The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.
Exclusion ledger
| Commits in window | 515 |
| Merge commits removed | −113 |
| CI / dependency bots removed | −0 |
| Considered | 402 |
Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.
Continue exploring
Related coding-agent evidence
Run the same detector locally.
Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.
npx qmmit-cli ARENA-education/ARENA_materials