- Dataset
- 2026-10-27-catalog-ai-v2
- Ruleset
- b2e8889c66f7
- Scanned
- 2026-10-27
- Window
- February–September 15, 2026
Automated Adversary Emulation Platform
01Result
apache/caldera ↗apache/caldera AI coding statistics: 6.4%
One person is driving this. The headline number reflects a single contributor's workflow, not a project-wide shift.
02Drivers
What shapes this result
Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.
Assisted or autonomous
Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached.
Agent share by month
| Month | Agent share | Considered commits |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2026-03 | 6.7% | 15 |
| 2026-04 | 0% | 7 |
| 2026-05 | 0% | 5 |
| 2026-07 | 9.1% | 11 |
| 2026-08 | 0% | 3 |
Peak month: 16.7%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.
Which agents
| Agent | Vendor | Commits | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Code | Anthropic | 2 | 4.3% |
| GitHub Copilot | GitHub | 1 | 2.1% |
03Evidence
Inspect the matches
Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.
Matched commit samples
28ce9ba1on GitHubbuild(deps): bump aiohttp to 3.14.1 and cryptography to 48.0.1 (#3394)Claude Coded748c6b4on GitHubfix: replace create_subprocess_shell (#3265)Claude Code4ed31821on GitHubfix: docker-compose, volumes don't overwrite UI (#3205)GitHub Copilot
04Method
What entered the denominator
The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.
Exclusion ledger
| Commits in window | 59 |
| Merge commits removed | −0 |
| CI / dependency bots removed | −12 |
| Considered | 47 |
Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.
Continue exploring
Related coding-agent evidence
Run the same detector locally.
Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.
npx qmmit-cli apache/caldera