- Dataset
- 2026-10-27-catalog-ai-v2
- Ruleset
- b2e8889c66f7
- Scanned
- 2026-10-27
- Window
- February–September 15, 2026
Super simple group chat, without a subscription
01Result
basecamp/once-campfire ↗basecamp/once-campfire AI coding statistics: 25.6%
A small group is using agents. Adoption has spread beyond one person but is not project-wide.
02Drivers
What shapes this result
Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.
Assisted or autonomous
Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached.
Agent share by month
| Month | Agent share | Considered commits |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 100% | 1 |
| 2026-04 | 85.7% | 7 |
| 2026-06 | 5.3% | 19 |
| 2026-07 | 5.3% | 19 |
| 2026-08 | 4.2% | 24 |
| 2026-09 | 91.7% | 12 |
Peak month: 100%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.
Which agents
| Agent | Vendor | Commits | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Code | Anthropic | 14 | 17.1% |
| Other / generic agent | Various | 6 | 7.3% |
| GitHub Copilot | GitHub | 1 | 1.2% |
03Evidence
Inspect the matches
Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.
Matched commit samples
5742dfafon GitHubCover markup-only OpenGraph title and description in link previewsClaude Code87220575on GitHubKeep one escapeHTML, and make it safe in an attributeClaude Codee6022a52on GitHubAssert only that the preview image gained no extra attributesClaude Code20ab5b1bon GitHubfeat: Add bot API endpoint for adding reactions (boosts) to messagesOther / generic agente8c1349aon GitHubstyle: Use bot? predicate instead of role comparisonOther / generic agentc82a8d38on GitHubfix: Use correct room messages in pagination testsOther / generic agent1e9f681bon GitHubScope boosts to the current messageGitHub Copilot
04Method
What entered the denominator
The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.
Exclusion ledger
| Commits in window | 102 |
| Merge commits removed | −13 |
| CI / dependency bots removed | −7 |
| Considered | 82 |
Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.
Continue exploring
Related coding-agent evidence
Run the same detector locally.
Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.
npx qmmit-cli basecamp/once-campfire