Pulse
2026-09-18-v3.0
Dataset
2026-09-18-v3.0
Ruleset
b2e8889c66f7
Scanned
2026-09-16
Window
February–September 15, 2026
Local to this browser

01Result

elastic/elasticsearch ↗

elastic/elasticsearch AI coding statistics: 1.1%

of 10,413 commits in February–September 15, 2026 were committed by an AI agent — a floor, not an estimate
1.1% agent · top contributor 9.6%43 contributors
org-wide

Adoption is broad. Many contributors are committing agent-authored work, which is what a real organisational rollout looks like.

114
agent commits
10,299
other considered commits
43
agent contributors
9.6%
largest contributor

02Drivers

What shapes this result

Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.

Assisted or autonomous

114assisted
0autonomous

Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached. Across the whole index, 96% of agent commits are assisted.

Agent share by month

Agent-attributed commit share by month
MonthAgent shareConsidered commits
2026-021.4%926
2026-030.7%1335
2026-040.6%1697
2026-050.9%1371
2026-060.8%1410
2026-071.4%1671
2026-081.7%1339
2026-091.5%664

Peak month: 1.7%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.

Which agents

AgentVendorCommitsShare
Cursor AgentAnysphere730.7%
Claude CodeAnthropic220.2%
GitHub CopilotGitHub210.2%

03Evidence

Inspect the matches

Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.

Matched commit samples

  • e7ced7b8 on GitHubIndex node heap overhead by object size (#154764)Cursor Agent
  • 40c47cec on GitHubAdd Accountable heap estimates for index and project metadata (#156428)Cursor Agent
  • bf081f67 on GitHubAdd Accountable heap estimates for metadata leaf types (#156427)Cursor Agent
  • 4be74087 on GitHubAdd test logging to StatelessHollowIndexShardsIT (#153400)Claude Code
  • 79401e2e on GitHubSpecialized SORT @timestamp DESC, LIMIT N optimization - Part 2 (#158340)Claude Code
  • 335b014d on GitHubGrant cluster:monitor/project_routing/get to the kibana_system role (#1561Claude Code
  • f390619b on GitHubUpdate ESQL DOCS README with link to Elastic docs skills (#159280)GitHub Copilot
  • 0cb3319b on GitHub[Inference API] Use SettingsScope enum instead of strings for settings scoGitHub Copilot
  • 6a04cbf1 on GitHubES|QL HIGHLIGHT: reject integer options above Integer.MAX_VALUE (#156722)GitHub Copilot

04Method

What entered the denominator

The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.

Exclusion ledger

Commits in window10,460
Merge commits removed−24
CI / dependency bots removed−23
Considered10,413

Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.

05Provenance

Pinned to a source state

This observation names the repository state, release, and detector that produced it. Use these identifiers when reproducing or citing the result.

Dataset release
2026-09-18-v3.0
Scan date
2026-09-16
Ruleset
sha256:b2e8889c66f72c18a61839f0bf1a9f77b5481ba2def044dba33c797b2f2bdcae
Canonical repository
elastic/elasticsearch
Default branch
main
Resolved HEAD
52303d3e218144671cb78a464004c87cc8da4c80 ↗
Resolved
2026-09-16
Measurement window
February–September 15, 2026
Download observation JSONDeterministic export · same values as this page

06Peer context

Position among comparable repositories

The cohort uses the same release and measurement window, then narrows to the repository’s ecosystem and removes low-activity observations.

CohortJava/Kotlin · 67 eligible repositories · at least 100 considered commits2026-09-18-v3.0 · February–September 15, 2026 · 34 of 101 ecosystem repositories excluded
Agent-commit share position57th percentile

Midrank percentile; equal shares split the tied positions.

Repository
1.1%
Cohort median
0.9%
Share rank
29 / 67
0th50th100th

Percentile = (repositories below + half of 2 tied repositories) ÷ 67.

Continue exploring

Claude Code commitsBrowse repositories with detected Claude Code signatures →GitHub Copilot commitsBrowse repositories with detected GitHub Copilot signatures →Cursor Agent commitsBrowse repositories with detected Cursor Agent signatures →GitHub AI commit analyzerInspect another repository with the same evidence model →
Reproduce this observation

Run the same detector locally.

Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.

npx qmmit-cli elastic/elasticsearch

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