Pulse
2026-09-18-v3.0
Dataset
2026-09-18-v3.0
Ruleset
b2e8889c66f7
Scanned
2026-09-16
Window
February–September 15, 2026
Local to this browser

01Result

elastic/kibana ↗

elastic/kibana AI coding statistics: 23.2%

of 14,360 commits in February–September 15, 2026 were committed by an AI agent — a floor, not an estimate
23.2% agent · top contributor 11.2%246 contributors
org-wide

Adoption is broad. Many contributors are committing agent-authored work, which is what a real organisational rollout looks like.

3,326
agent commits
11,034
other considered commits
246
agent contributors
11.2%
largest contributor

02Drivers

What shapes this result

Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.

Assisted or autonomous

3305assisted
21autonomous

Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached. Across the whole index, 96% of agent commits are assisted.

Agent share by month

Agent-attributed commit share by month
MonthAgent shareConsidered commits
2026-028.4%1612
2026-035.1%2028
2026-049.2%2196
2026-0523.9%1721
2026-0629.9%1429
2026-0733.9%2294
2026-0842.2%2050
2026-0939%1030

Peak month: 42.2%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.

Which agents

AgentVendorCommitsShare
Claude CodeAnthropic169711.8%
Cursor AgentAnysphere158311%
GitHub CopilotGitHub2501.7%
OpenAI CodexOpenAI30%
DevinCognition30%

03Evidence

Inspect the matches

Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.

Matched commit samples

  • 2bd896a2 on GitHub[Agent Builder] Introduce Event type registry (#290151)Claude Code
  • 6ad44bb1 on GitHub[Agent Builder] Exclude jina-ocr-v1 from LLM converse smoke tests (#291200Claude Code
  • a4346aea on GitHubResolve user settings once per page render (#291066)Claude Code
  • a7be4c3c on GitHub[Discover] Show where to add METADATA when an ES|QL result cannot be shareCursor Agent
  • 9102ab37 on GitHub[Alerting] Rename Execution history Policies tab to Action policies (#2909Cursor Agent
  • 03c4a447 on GitHub[DOCS] Note Dashboards listing cap on savedObjects:listingLimit (#291221)Cursor Agent
  • cd70c1a7 on GitHub[Synthetics] Fix flaky OverviewCompactView by seeding monitor before navigGitHub Copilot
  • 114098ee on GitHubHide deactivated-user activation action for read-only users (#289801)GitHub Copilot
  • 6060e01e on GitHub[EDR Workflows][Custom YARA signatures] Add internal `_validate` API (#287GitHub Copilot
  • 279e75ac on GitHub[Console] Support auto-indenting requests with comments (#284527)OpenAI Codex
  • 8935d6d8 on GitHub[Index Management] Fix flaky mapper-size plugin test by moving coverage toOpenAI Codex
  • 04e046ce on GitHub[Ingest Pipelines] Give Processor: Fail beforeEach hook timeout headroom (OpenAI Codex
  • dfc3f90f on GitHub[Security]: migrate StepAboutRule unit tests from Enzyme to @testing-libraDevin
  • c5f74d22 on GitHub[Security Solution][Detection Engine] updates AI rule creation workflow (#Devin
  • a6b9d4b7 on GitHub[Security Solution] Adjust log level and wording of logs written from ruleDevin

04Method

What entered the denominator

The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.

Exclusion ledger

Commits in window14,671
Merge commits removed−0
CI / dependency bots removed−311
Considered14,360

Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.

05Provenance

Pinned to a source state

This observation names the repository state, release, and detector that produced it. Use these identifiers when reproducing or citing the result.

Dataset release
2026-09-18-v3.0
Scan date
2026-09-16
Ruleset
sha256:b2e8889c66f72c18a61839f0bf1a9f77b5481ba2def044dba33c797b2f2bdcae
Canonical repository
elastic/kibana
Default branch
main
Resolved HEAD
2d0c846262d8b04a81a87eed1b4c35e5d5b14c05 ↗
Resolved
2026-09-16
Measurement window
February–September 15, 2026
Download observation JSONDeterministic export · same values as this page

06Peer context

Position among comparable repositories

The cohort uses the same release and measurement window, then narrows to the repository’s ecosystem and removes low-activity observations.

CohortJS/TS · 376 eligible repositories · at least 100 considered commits2026-09-18-v3.0 · February–September 15, 2026 · 194 of 570 ecosystem repositories excluded
Agent-commit share position80th percentile

Midrank percentile; equal shares split the tied positions.

Repository
23.2%
Cohort median
5.4%
Share rank
76 / 376
0th50th100th

Percentile = (repositories below + half of 2 tied repositories) ÷ 376.

Continue exploring

Claude Code commitsBrowse repositories with detected Claude Code signatures →GitHub Copilot commitsBrowse repositories with detected GitHub Copilot signatures →Cursor Agent commitsBrowse repositories with detected Cursor Agent signatures →Devin commitsBrowse repositories with detected Devin signatures →OpenAI Codex commitsBrowse repositories with detected OpenAI Codex signatures →GitHub AI commit analyzerInspect another repository with the same evidence model →
Reproduce this observation

Run the same detector locally.

Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.

npx qmmit-cli elastic/kibana

Scan another repository

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