- Dataset
- 2026-10-27-catalog-ai-v2
- Ruleset
- b2e8889c66f7
- Scanned
- 2026-10-27
- Window
- February–September 15, 2026
no_std Hardware Abstraction Layers for ESP32 microcontrollers
01Result
esp-rs/esp-hal ↗esp-rs/esp-hal AI coding statistics: 3.6%
Adoption is broad. Many contributors are committing agent-authored work, which is what a real organisational rollout looks like.
02Drivers
What shapes this result
Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.
Assisted or autonomous
Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached.
Agent share by month
| Month | Agent share | Considered commits |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02 | 1.6% | 126 |
| 2026-03 | 2.5% | 121 |
| 2026-04 | 4% | 99 |
| 2026-05 | 3.7% | 81 |
| 2026-06 | 3% | 135 |
| 2026-07 | 2.5% | 121 |
| 2026-08 | 7.4% | 135 |
| 2026-09 | 3.6% | 55 |
Peak month: 7.4%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.
Which agents
| Agent | Vendor | Commits | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cursor Agent | Anysphere | 21 | 2.4% |
| GitHub Copilot | GitHub | 9 | 1% |
| Claude Code | Anthropic | 1 | 0.1% |
03Evidence
Inspect the matches
Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.
Matched commit samples
ed83ac5con GitHubUpdate PACs to released versions (#6333)Cursor Agent95751f76on GitHubEnable PCNT on ESP32-P4 (#6187)Cursor Agent0d38c384on GitHubxtask: re-read manifests in execute-plan apply loop (#6200)Cursor Agent50c3d2f7on GitHubImplement Display and Error for DMA error types (#5815)GitHub Copilot2ce5ce14on GitHubRelease 18 packages, including esp-hal@1.1.0-rc.0 (#5382)GitHub Copilotb1e0ebb6on GitHubAdd release policy (#5358)GitHub Copilot10e48dd7on GitHubCorrect the 802.15.4 AR-bit and frame-version FCF offsets (#5650)Claude Code
04Method
What entered the denominator
The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.
Exclusion ledger
| Commits in window | 873 |
| Merge commits removed | −0 |
| CI / dependency bots removed | −0 |
| Considered | 873 |
Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.
Continue exploring
Related coding-agent evidence
Run the same detector locally.
Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.
npx qmmit-cli esp-rs/esp-hal