Pulse
2026-09-18-v3.0
Dataset
2026-09-18-v3.0
Ruleset
b2e8889c66f7
Scanned
2026-09-16
Window
February–September 15, 2026
Local to this browser

01Result

espressif/arduino-esp32 ↗

espressif/arduino-esp32 AI coding statistics: 12.1%

of 330 commits in February–September 15, 2026 were committed by an AI agent — a floor, not an estimate
12.1% agent · top contributor 27.5%14 contributors
org-wide

Adoption is broad. Many contributors are committing agent-authored work, which is what a real organisational rollout looks like.

40
agent commits
290
other considered commits
14
agent contributors
27.5%
largest contributor

02Drivers

What shapes this result

Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.

Assisted or autonomous

40assisted
0autonomous

Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached. Across the whole index, 96% of agent commits are assisted.

Agent share by month

Agent-attributed commit share by month
MonthAgent shareConsidered commits
2026-023.7%54
2026-0311.6%43
2026-0418.9%37
2026-0518.5%54
2026-067.5%53
2026-079.8%41
2026-0824.2%33
2026-090%15

Peak month: 24.2%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.

Which agents

AgentVendorCommitsShare
GitHub CopilotGitHub329.7%
Claude CodeAnthropic72.1%
Cursor AgentAnysphere30.9%

03Evidence

Inspect the matches

Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.

Matched commit samples

  • 21d2fc43 on GitHubfeat(ble): Add test cases and memory management documentation (#12825)GitHub Copilot
  • f1073121 on GitHubfeat(doc): include Home Assistant as Matter environment (#12810)GitHub Copilot
  • 28e7fa91 on GitHubfix(ble): Fix oversized AD bounds (#12805)GitHub Copilot
  • 1630aecb on GitHubfeat(matter): allow setting Matter Descriptor TagList attribute for endpoiClaude Code
  • 2787dabc on GitHubfeat(boards): Add Raiden S01 ESP32-S3 devkit board (#12835)Claude Code
  • 7c5ec7f4 on GitHubfeat(board): add TinyUF2 16MB partition schemes for LilyGo T-Display-S3 (#Claude Code
  • 1630aecb on GitHubfeat(matter): allow setting Matter Descriptor TagList attribute for endpoiCursor Agent
  • 33c3a085 on GitHubfeat(board): add Waveshare ESP32-C5-LCD-1.47 (#12811)Cursor Agent
  • 8667595a on GitHubfix(ledc): Add timeout to duty update wait loop to prevent WDT (#12726)Cursor Agent

04Method

What entered the denominator

The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.

Exclusion ledger

Commits in window344
Merge commits removed−4
CI / dependency bots removed−10
Considered330

Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.

05Provenance

Pinned to a source state

This observation names the repository state, release, and detector that produced it. Use these identifiers when reproducing or citing the result.

Dataset release
2026-09-18-v3.0
Scan date
2026-09-16
Ruleset
sha256:b2e8889c66f72c18a61839f0bf1a9f77b5481ba2def044dba33c797b2f2bdcae
Canonical repository
espressif/arduino-esp32
Default branch
master
Resolved HEAD
18a4c54e1a02b17917161b0d06b5a519cd63e7c2 ↗
Resolved
2026-09-16
Measurement window
February–September 15, 2026
Download observation JSONDeterministic export · same values as this page

06Peer context

Position among comparable repositories

The cohort uses the same release and measurement window, then narrows to the repository’s ecosystem and removes low-activity observations.

CohortC/C++ · 127 eligible repositories · at least 100 considered commits2026-09-18-v3.0 · February–September 15, 2026 · 51 of 178 ecosystem repositories excluded
Agent-commit share position90th percentile

Midrank percentile; equal shares split the tied positions.

Repository
12.1%
Cohort median
0.4%
Share rank
13 / 127
0th50th100th

Percentile = (repositories below + half of 1 tied repository) ÷ 127.

Continue exploring

Claude Code commitsBrowse repositories with detected Claude Code signatures →GitHub Copilot commitsBrowse repositories with detected GitHub Copilot signatures →Cursor Agent commitsBrowse repositories with detected Cursor Agent signatures →GitHub AI commit analyzerInspect another repository with the same evidence model →
Reproduce this observation

Run the same detector locally.

Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.

npx qmmit-cli espressif/arduino-esp32

Scan another repository

Try