- Dataset
- 2026-10-27-catalog-ai-v2
- Ruleset
- b2e8889c66f7
- Scanned
- 2026-10-27
- Window
- February–September 15, 2026
Optimism is Ethereum, scaled.
01Result
ethereum-optimism/optimism ↗ethereum-optimism/optimism AI coding statistics: 39.2%
Adoption is broad. Many contributors are committing agent-authored work, which is what a real organisational rollout looks like.
02Drivers
What shapes this result
Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.
Assisted or autonomous
Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached.
Agent share by month
| Month | Agent share | Considered commits |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02 | 11.8% | 288 |
| 2026-03 | 55% | 258 |
| 2026-04 | 46.6% | 266 |
| 2026-05 | 27.6% | 286 |
| 2026-06 | 44.1% | 222 |
| 2026-07 | 53.4% | 324 |
| 2026-08 | 41.8% | 201 |
| 2026-09 | 25% | 80 |
Peak month: 55%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.
Which agents
| Agent | Vendor | Commits | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Code | Anthropic | 728 | 37.8% |
| GitHub Copilot | GitHub | 15 | 0.8% |
| Devin | Cognition | 9 | 0.5% |
| OpenAI Codex | OpenAI | 4 | 0.2% |
03Evidence
Inspect the matches
Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.
Matched commit samples
3cdd9f23on GitHubdocs: add preconfirmation architecture transition notice (#22843)Claude Codea74e0ebaon GitHubdocs: pin component versions and dates for Upgrade 20 (#22865)Claude Code6945cd72on GitHubcontracts-bedrock: git-ignore foundry.lock (#22853)Claude Code9c38f588on GitHubdocs: Update op-reth-historical-proof-config.mdx (#20846)GitHub Copilot681867a2on GitHubchore(rust/op-reth): port historical proofs binary change (#19252)GitHub Copilotf67fd6c6on GitHubRemove accidental `PR.md` from repository root (#19497)GitHub Copilot348e1291on GitHubtest(contracts): improve LegacyMintableERC20 test coverage and quality (#1Devin7d513f71on GitHubtest(contracts): improve ETHLiquidity test coverage (#19665)Devin81e3673fon GitHubchore(contracts-bedrock): replace pre-pr with pr (check-fast) in CI and juDevin4f196aadon GitHubci: skip merge queue test suites for docs-only changes (#22434)OpenAI Codex00c3d3eeon GitHubdocs: migrate flashblocks -> subblocks (#22417)OpenAI Codex75a56602on GitHubop-reth: add subblocks CLI flag aliases (#22431)OpenAI Codex
04Method
What entered the denominator
The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.
Exclusion ledger
| Commits in window | 1,967 |
| Merge commits removed | −5 |
| CI / dependency bots removed | −37 |
| Considered | 1,925 |
Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.
Continue exploring
Related coding-agent evidence
Run the same detector locally.
Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.
npx qmmit-cli ethereum-optimism/optimism