Dataset: 2026-10-27-catalog-ai-v2
Ruleset: b2e8889c66f7
Scanned: 2026-10-27
Window: February–September 15, 2026

Catalog tracking observation. This repository is measured with the same fixed window and ruleset, but it is not part of the published benchmark or its aggregate claims.

Active development happens on git.rust-bitcoin.org, this repo is a mirror of https://git.rust-bitcoin.org/lightningdevkit/rust-lightning

01Result

lightningdevkit/rust-lightning ↗

lightningdevkit/rust-lightning AI coding statistics: 22.1%

of 888 commits in February–September 15, 2026 were committed by an AI agent — a floor, not an estimate

22.1% agent · top contributor 46.9%16 contributors

org-wide

Adoption is broad. Many contributors are committing agent-authored work, which is what a real organisational rollout looks like.

196

agent commits

692

other considered commits

agent contributors

46.9%

largest contributor

02Drivers

What shapes this result

Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.

Assisted or autonomous

196assisted

0autonomous

Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached.

Agent share by month

Peak month: 41%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.

Which agents

Agent	Vendor	Commits	Share
Claude Code	Anthropic	188	21.2%
Cursor Agent	Anysphere	7	0.8%
OpenAI Codex	OpenAI	3	0.3%

03Evidence

Inspect the matches

Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.

Matched commit samples

9ffeccf0 on GitHubReject `open_channel` requiring both anchor channel typesClaude Code
cee52cd0 on GitHubAdd fuzz target for the resource managerClaude Code
e11a2af5 on GitHubDon't archive un-advanced monitors with pending eventsClaude Code
388187ca on GitHuboffers: rename matches_invoice_signing_pubkey to key_can_sign_invoiceCursor Agent
10471802 on GitHubpayer-proof: deduplicate recipient check with new Offer APICursor Agent
4b23365a on GitHuboffers: add Offer::matches_invoice_signing_pubkeyCursor Agent
e8bf8543 on GitHubRemove redundant PaymentClaimable serialization testOpenAI Codex
7587d2cd on GitHubAbort active splice RBF when prior candidate confirmsOpenAI Codex
1ee94800 on GitHubExpose current dust exposure in ChannelDetailsOpenAI Codex

04Method

What entered the denominator

The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.

Exclusion ledger

Commits in window	1,254
Merge commits removed	−366
CI / dependency bots removed	−0
Considered	888

Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.

Continue exploring

Claude Code commitsBrowse repositories with detected Claude Code signatures →Cursor Agent commitsBrowse repositories with detected Cursor Agent signatures →OpenAI Codex commitsBrowse repositories with detected OpenAI Codex signatures →Rust AI coding statisticsCompare evidence across Rust repositories →GitHub AI commit analyzerInspect another repository with the same evidence model →

Reproduce this observation

Run the same detector locally.

Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.

npx qmmit-cli lightningdevkit/rust-lightning

Scan another repository

Try

Month	Agent share	Considered commits
2026-02	23%	183
2026-03	21.8%	142
2026-04	21.2%	66
2026-05	17%	112
2026-06	12.4%	97
2026-07	10.8%	93
2026-08	41%	134
2026-09	21.3%	61