- Dataset
- 2026-09-18-v3.0
- Ruleset
- b2e8889c66f7
- Scanned
- 2026-09-16
- Window
- February–September 15, 2026
01Result
renovatebot/renovate ↗renovatebot/renovate AI coding statistics: 30%
A small group is using agents. Adoption has spread beyond one person but is not project-wide.
02Drivers
What shapes this result
Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.
Assisted or autonomous
Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached. Across the whole index, 96% of agent commits are assisted.
Agent share by month
| Month | Agent share | Considered commits |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02 | 16.1% | 180 |
| 2026-03 | 13.7% | 183 |
| 2026-04 | 20.7% | 217 |
| 2026-05 | 14.1% | 170 |
| 2026-06 | 26.1% | 138 |
| 2026-07 | 29.8% | 161 |
| 2026-08 | 51.1% | 174 |
| 2026-09 | 59.3% | 241 |
Peak month: 59.3%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.
Which agents
| Agent | Vendor | Commits | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Code | Anthropic | 427 | 29.2% |
| GitHub Copilot | GitHub | 12 | 0.8% |
| Cursor Agent | Anysphere | 4 | 0.3% |
03Evidence
Inspect the matches
Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.
Matched commit samples
aae889a2on GitHubfix(datasource/go): cache the publication time of each version (#45951)Claude Code0649d9f8on GitHubtest(datasource/go): show that `.info` timestamps are refetched (#45950)Claude Codecbd9e92don GitHubfeat(manager/github-actions): support conda-incubator/setup-miniconda versClaude Codeb62fe595on GitHubfix: remove references to "bot" (#39305)GitHub Copilot183fc146on GitHubdocs: clarify GHSA publishing timelines and CVE IDs (#45307)GitHub Copilotcc5bcaafon GitHubci: add `auto:pls-merge-main` label workflow to merge main into a PR brancGitHub Copilot795d0832on GitHubfeat(datasource): add APK datasource support (#40250)Cursor Agenta84e007fon GitHubfeat(vulnerabilities): match OSV Packagist sub-ecosystems (#45203)Cursor Agentdef09c26on GitHubfix(github): use base_tree in pushFiles to avoid org ruleset file-path resCursor Agent
04Method
What entered the denominator
The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.
Exclusion ledger
| Commits in window | 3,238 |
| Merge commits removed | −0 |
| CI / dependency bots removed | −1,774 |
| Considered | 1,464 |
Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.
05Provenance
Pinned to a source state
This observation names the repository state, release, and detector that produced it. Use these identifiers when reproducing or citing the result.
- Dataset release
- 2026-09-18-v3.0
- Scan date
- 2026-09-16
- Ruleset
- sha256:b2e8889c66f72c18a61839f0bf1a9f77b5481ba2def044dba33c797b2f2bdcae
- Canonical repository
- renovatebot/renovate
- Default branch
- main
- Resolved HEAD
- f6bbc9f579779222c5da821555f0474f0dab8036 ↗
- Resolved
- 2026-09-16
- Measurement window
- February–September 15, 2026
06Peer context
Position among comparable repositories
The cohort uses the same release and measurement window, then narrows to the repository’s ecosystem and removes low-activity observations.
Midrank percentile; equal shares split the tied positions.
- Repository
- 30%
- Cohort median
- 5.4%
- Share rank
- 58 / 376
Percentile = (repositories below + half of 1 tied repository) ÷ 376.
Continue exploring
Related coding-agent evidence
Run the same detector locally.
Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.
npx qmmit-cli renovatebot/renovate