- Dataset
- 2026-09-18-v3.0
- Ruleset
- b2e8889c66f7
- Scanned
- 2026-09-16
- Window
- February–September 15, 2026
01Result
stablyai/orca ↗stablyai/orca AI coding statistics: 3.2%
Adoption is broad. Many contributors are committing agent-authored work, which is what a real organisational rollout looks like.
02Drivers
What shapes this result
Mode, timing, and detected signatures show whether the result reflects broad adoption or one concentrated workflow.
Assisted or autonomous
Assisted — a developer’s identity authored the commit and the agent added itself as co-author. Autonomous — a bot identity authored the commit without a human identity attached. Across the whole index, 96% of agent commits are assisted.
Agent share by month
| Month | Agent share | Considered commits |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 31.7% | 341 |
| 2026-04 | 5.4% | 932 |
| 2026-05 | 0.6% | 2450 |
| 2026-06 | 4.3% | 1421 |
| 2026-07 | 3.2% | 1785 |
| 2026-08 | 1.3% | 1972 |
| 2026-09 | 0.4% | 1263 |
Peak month: 31.7%. Bars are scaled to that peak, not to 100%.
Which agents
| Agent | Vendor | Commits | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Code | Anthropic | 293 | 2.9% |
| Cursor Agent | Anysphere | 16 | 0.2% |
| Devin | Cognition | 7 | 0.1% |
| GitHub Copilot | GitHub | 5 | 0% |
| OpenAI Codex | OpenAI | 2 | 0% |
03Evidence
Inspect the matches
Public commit samples let you inspect the signatures behind the aggregate result.
Matched commit samples
170dbdb8on GitHubfix(ai-vault): ignore non-absolute env overrides for agent scan roots (#13Claude Codea28cd9eaon GitHubfix(browser): press keys through a US-layout CDP key table instead of a suClaude Codec300913fon GitHubfix(mobile): stop double-scaling commit timestamps in history rows (#17731Claude Code2ed89b87on GitHubfix(github): name an unfiltered empty project view instead of blaming a fiCursor Agentf9e825eeon GitHubfix(ai-vault): close OpenCode handles when query_only setup fails (#14134)Cursor Agentd1ccfcffon GitHubfix(settings): normalize and validate branch prefixes (#7772)Cursor Agent9cb04b5aon GitHubfix(orchestration): stop fencing fresh-run callers and accept revoked coorDevinc24ebcadon GitHubfix(rate-limits): unstick Claude "Limited" usage — respect Retry-After andDevin7fe6742bon GitHubfix(pr-comments): let users mark comment authors as bots for the Humans/BoDevin03b88951on GitHubfeat: expand ai commit agent support (#1928)GitHub Copilot53f911ddon GitHubSupport GitHub Copilot CLI agent detection (#866)GitHub Copilot82fe59fcon GitHubfix: correct IME candidate window position when typing Japanese in terminaGitHub Copilot6e3ebf53on GitHubfix(terminal): arbitrate active desktop viewport ownership (#8252)OpenAI Codex543d9a6con GitHubfix(linux): avoid Ubuntu orca package conflict (#1306)OpenAI Codex
04Method
What entered the denominator
The result begins with commit history, removes merges and routine automation, and reports literal agent signatures as a lower bound.
Exclusion ledger
| Commits in window | 11,025 |
| Merge commits removed | −6 |
| CI / dependency bots removed | −855 |
| Considered | 10,164 |
Bots are excluded from the denominator entirely. Agent attribution requires a literal supported signature; no code-style inference is used.
05Provenance
Pinned to a source state
This observation names the repository state, release, and detector that produced it. Use these identifiers when reproducing or citing the result.
- Dataset release
- 2026-09-18-v3.0
- Scan date
- 2026-09-16
- Ruleset
- sha256:b2e8889c66f72c18a61839f0bf1a9f77b5481ba2def044dba33c797b2f2bdcae
- Canonical repository
- stablyai/orca
- Default branch
- main
- Resolved HEAD
- 291b4ddd6f1c1af480169885e0fda7f9c78ff053 ↗
- Resolved
- 2026-09-16
- Measurement window
- February–September 15, 2026
06Peer context
Position among comparable repositories
The cohort uses the same release and measurement window, then narrows to the repository’s ecosystem and removes low-activity observations.
Midrank percentile; equal shares split the tied positions.
- Repository
- 3.2%
- Cohort median
- 5.4%
- Share rank
- 219 / 376
Percentile = (repositories below + half of 9 tied repositories) ÷ 376.
Continue exploring
Related coding-agent evidence
Run the same detector locally.
Deterministic signature matching; no code-style inference. Squash merges can remove trailers, so this result remains a measured floor.
npx qmmit-cli stablyai/orca